MGS · Applied evidence

Intelligence Hub

Real-world case analysis, due diligence, OSINT, risk frameworks and applied methodology for complex commercial decisions.

Applied public cases

Decisions documented through independent evidence

Each applied case presents the decision problem, verification scope and executive conclusion. The two current public cases are sector examples within the intelligence library; they are not a primary category of the Centre.

Preview of the anonymised public report on the EN590 offer and its FCO
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CASE 01 · ANONYMISED PUBLIC EDITIONPublished

Independent due diligence of an EN590 offer and its FCO

EN590 offer · Critical risk

Public intelligence case 01

A formally documented proposal did not meet the independent-evidence threshold required to justify financial exposure.

Decision: do not proceedThe conclusion remains unchanged until the critical counterparty, documentary and operational claims are independently verified.
Preview of the public counterparty due diligence case study for a petroleum transaction
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CASE 02 · ANONYMISED PUBLIC EDITIONPublished

Counterparty due diligence in a petroleum transaction

Petroleum transaction · Independent verification pending

Public case study 02

The review tested whether identity, authority, documentation, title chain, vessel and compliance controls justified continuing a transaction initiated through a LinkedIn contact.

Decision: suspend the transactionDo not advance until the counterparty and the critical operational and documentary elements have been independently verified.

Verification sequence

From claim to decision, every conclusion must remain verifiable

  1. ClaimIdentify what each party asserts and which decision the assertion is intended to support.
  2. Documentary evidenceTest whether the documents support the claim and correspond to the transaction.
  3. Independent corroborationExternal sources confirm, qualify or contradict the information provided.
  4. Relationships and contextConnect relevant actors, authority, dates, incentives and dependencies.
  5. DecisionThe available evidence determines whether to proceed, impose conditions, suspend or decline.